ESTIMATION OF WIND SPEED DATA WITH SETAR MODEL

نویسندگان

چکیده

The threshold model allows expression with different Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) models sorted according to the value of observations. In this study, nineteen years observed wind speed data have been modeled Self Exciting Threshold (SETAR) model. Two (AR(3)) obtained for situation where was below and above 2.5 m / s previous observation in time series. addition, SETAR (1,3,3) model, it has determined that residual terms effect GARCH (1,1) a range estimated predictions.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of engineering technology and applied sciences

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2548-0391']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.30931/jetas.1099407